Polls: Canadian Fed Election: Uncommitted 'favour Libs', but Conservs lead; Harper muses majority win? No! blogs say

Joan Bryden reports the latest Canadian Federal election opinon-poll in the Toronto Star article, "Fence-sitters favour Liberals: Poll." It appeared online yesterday afternoon. Bryden's Canadian Press piece (Jan8,2k6) finds that "Results suggest 'tricky line to walk' for Conservatives."

Uncommitted voters outside Quebec, who could determine the outcome of the close-fought federal election, were more likely to ultimately support the Liberals than the Conservatives, a new poll suggests.

Catch the crucial expession "more likely to ultimately support the Liberals than the Conservatives." Slender line of thawt, but there's probably a statistical criterion here that few of us could follow the math thereof.

It's doubtful that on top of the Gomery Adscam report, the Dingwalli scandal at Mint and Technology Partnerships Canada, the Income Trusts scandal implicating Finance Minister Ralph Gooddale and now under RCMP investigation; and more recently than the Decima analysis of Undecideds, there comes a second RCMP investigation into the Option Canada scandal (Jan5,2k6) - this time,the name is not Dingwall or Goodale but Kim Doran, another close connection to Paul Martin. In the face of all this - the Undecideds are going to enter such denial that they can't enter the voter's booth and simply vote No! to the Libs. At some point a voter takes on the venality of Canada's Party of Corruption by a dismissive gesture toward the pile-up of offences that now reaches so close to the Prime Minister himself that Gomery's first report may yet prove palpably false about Martin Knowin Nothing about all this Liberal Hanky Panky.

In the meantime, Harper is musing. Seeing his name and his party in the main poll (Decima is just looking for the fence-sitters, many of whom may be paralyzed with indecision and simply stay at home). In another Star report, this time by Robert Benzie, "Harper muses on possiblity of majority win," the effect of this lead 2 weeks before the vote has been the energizing of Tory campaign rank-and-file out on the hustings. But the headline writer imposed on Benzie a malicious falsification of the content of the article. Harper simply never contemplated to any reporter any expectation of a majority win. It's a blatant headline-writer's fiction, according to Angry in the Great White North.