Canada: Fed Election Polls: Conservatives lead Liberals by 6.3%; Conservs triple support in Quebec
The sponsor of SES polling research for the Canadian Federal Election 2006 is the Canadian Public Affairs Channel (CPAC), "now re-branded as Canada's 24.7.Politics.TV., with a fresh new on-air look and attitude."
From CPAC's site:
Created by Cable for Canadians
CPAC is Canada’s only privately-owned, commercial free, not for profit, bilingual licensed television service. Created in 1992 by a consortium of cable companies to preserve an independent editorial voice for Canada’s democratic process, CPAC provides a window on Parliament, politics and public affairs in Canada and around the world. Since 1992, the cable industry has invested close to $50 million in CPAC, and today CPAC programming is delivered by cable, satellite and wireless distributors to over 9.5 million homes in Canada, and worldwide via 24/7 webcasting and podcasts available on this web sites.
SES research results for last nite
Canada Decided Voters
(Tracking ended January 18, 2006, N=1,015 decided voters)
CP 37.0% (+8)
LIB 30.7% (-6)
NDP 16.6% (+2)
BQ 10.7% (-3)
GP 4.9 (NC)
*15.2% of Canadians were undecided (-1)
In Quebec
BQ 44% (-6)
CP 24% (+15)
LIB 19% (-11)
NDP 10% (+4)
GP 3% (-3)
*17% of Quebecers were undecided (+6)
Outside Quebec
CP 41% (+4)
LIB 35% (-4)
NDP 19% (NC)
GP 6% (+1)
*15% of Canadians outside Quebec were undecided (-2)
In Ontario
CP 40% (+7)
LIB 39% (-4)
NDP 15% (-3)
GP 7% (+3)
*12% of Canadians outside Quebec were undecided (-8)
Best PM
Harper 30% (+9)
Martin 24% (-5)
Layton 17% (+3)
Unsure 14% (-3)
None 9% (-3)
Duceppe 5% (-1)
Harris 2% (NC)
Leadership Index
[Daily composite of the Leaders’ Trust, Competence and Vision]*
Martin 69 (+5)
Harper 76 (+1)
Layton 53 (-4)
Duceppe 26 (+7)
Harris 10 (+1)
* Change for this measure is from yesterday’s composite score.
On the SES website , Nik Nanos posts an updated daily longitudinal tracking chart, regional breakdowns and details on the questions and the methodology each afternoon. Watch PrimeTime Politics at 8 pm EST (Monday to Friday) to get a detailed briefing of the numbers.
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