Friday, January 27, 2006

Iran: Nuclear annihilation of Israel: Can the Russian Solution avert Holocaust and/or World War?

One would like to think that a huge diplomatic breakthru has taken place in regard to the North Atlantic consensus that Iran must be stopped from gaining nuclear power - which means atomic weaponry of mass destruction and the genocide of the people of Israel, as Iran has made its intentions all too clear.

If a breakthru, then it is the work of Russia (a next-door neighbour of Iran) with China (an ally of Iran, and a customer for its oil). Yesterday, David E. Sanger and Elaine Sciolino, reporting in New York Times, said both President Bush and Great Leader Hu Jintao, have backed the Russian idea. Indeed, it is difficult for anyone not to endorse it, if only for the sake of appearances, no matter what the truth may be. Further details of support for the Russian Solution are cited in the blogRegime Change in Iran.

Rookmaker Club geostratic analysis

Iran Nuke

It would seem that Russia has impressed Iran in regard to the polarization that has been settling in between all of Europe and North America, on the one side, and Iran and China, on the other.

Now Russia is claiming that it has persuaded Iran to refine its uranium at Russian nuke facilities to a grade suitable only for use in peace-preserving ways.

In the meantime, developments elsewhere may have contributed to Iran's good faith (or greater deceptive craftiness) in opting for the Russian Solution. Certainly in the USA, starting with Newt Gingrich's advocacy of a regime-change policy toward Iran, and its widespread adoption by foreign-policy thinkers of various political stripes and politicians themselves, the need to stop Iran cold has emerged as the most reasonable course, if the Russian Solution does not hold.

Most probably, I would guess, the Russians are acting in good faith, and may have persuaded China that the latter's own overall interests are best served by the proposed Solution. But even more probably is the reality that Iran is not negotiating in good faith with Russia, nor presenting itself with full accuracy of its intentions to oil-thirsty China.

The truth is that no one can trust the mullocracy governing Iran these days.

Iran anti-Semitic poster [semiotics]
Iran's infamous giant anti-Israel poster in front of which the Iranian President vowed to destroy Israeli civilization

New York Sun carried a brief item by Daniel Freedman yesterday entitled "President Bush's Mistake." But we should not yet discount the President's blessed wiliness in the various moments of the necessary diplomatic game. His effective Secretary of State, Condi Rice, has expressed the same measured stance for the time being. For one thing, Bush cannot be seen as wanting to be the arbiter of which of the world's countries get to have, as he put it, "civilian nuclear power."

Besides the USA, the French and Germans and the great sweep of the entire EU, along with Israel, defnitely want Iran stopped from any prospect of gaining WMDs with which to hold the world to ransom; and to conquer, if not annihilate, Israel. However, just how can Iran actually be stopped short of any actual successful popular revolt in that country? I don't think conditions in Iran are ripe for regime change by popular revolt, no matter what percentage of the population presently despises the regime. The regime still commands the fanatical loyality of a vast horde of partisans, trained to put down any resistance from the public.

Monday, January 31, will see "the foreign ministers of Britain, France, Germany, Russia and China" meet in London with USA Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice "in an effort to resolve their differences on how best to punish Iran for its nuclear activities" in the upcoming gathering next week of the International Atomic Energy Agency. - Politicarp

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