Saturday, July 16, 2005

China: Nuking USA: Chinese govt says general's threat to nuke USA 'his own words," but Taiwan will never be independent


Rookmaker Club geostrategy analysis


China's intentions could not have been made clearer, but I held back in blogging that bellicosity because I thawt it would be retracted or otherwise explained away, or something ... And besides, there was a certain numbing effect on me, as the thawt was a little difficult to imagine at all. What after all, does one say in the face of such a threat?

I don't think General Zhu Chenghu - People's Liberation Army of Communist China and, get this!, Dean of the University of National Defense - really was making a point about Taiwan. After all, Taiwan is de facto independent, and has been since Generalissimo Chiang Kai-Shek withdrew his Nationalist Army and civil administration to the island from the mainland way back in 1949. Now, that wasn't such a good thing for the native Taiwanese who were considerably displaced by the incoming Han of the Nationalists; but the displacement of Taiwanese culture by mainland Chinese culture did result in a new flourishing of the latter, as the Communists on the mainland hacked away at all the traditions of China. Not least the array of religions of China, including its traditional Christianity which goes back to the Seventh Century, along with Buddhism that goes back to the Third Century after the entry of the first missionary from India, and Confucianism which was an established religio-philosophical ideology of order, rank, and etiquette even earlier than the Imperial Mandarinate (and developed the ideographic writing that could facilitate communication across the different languages of the Empire's subcontinent), and, finally, the most aboriginal Chines religion of Taoism which has its roots in the "Green Circle" of the peasant class. These all reconstituted themselves in Taiwan and flourished.

Education, science, medicine, art, technology, publishing, a free press, and now all the electronic media, along with industrial manufacturing - all were revitalized by the new independent Chinese-dominated society of independent Taiwan.

The General in question may have been personally deeply jealous of all this success of displaced Chinese on the island of Taiwan, he may have had resentment regarding the wealthy Chinese from Taiwan who have been investing like crazy in the mainland economy - ever since it opened itself, out of desperation, to such hi-risk ventures. But, I think that the General's statement was more about nakedly asserting his mainpoint: Zhu Chenhu launched a meme > China has now entered into the world's international discourse its own peculiar imagery of unleashing its nuclear capablity upon the USA ... and that includes Alaska and Seattle (the major military port of Bremerton which can dispatch nuke subs) and, incidentally, anything in between these American regions, like Vancouver. After all, how can the Great China allow mere cabals and juntas of terrorist Arabs to pose nuclear threats to the USA without even a regular military, as tho China wouldn't dare use its own emporium of armour except in self-defense?

And that's the deception that forges the link between the components of Zhu Chenghu's idea: Great China has the nuclear wherewithal to take out Anchorage, Vancouver, Seattle, the Hawaiian Islands, Guam, San Francisco - all at once! - while proceding with the takeover of Taiwan. This is the Zhu Chenghu Doctrine. The USA and Canada should look it square in the face.

Furthermore, I don't think the doctrine we may properly name after the General is actually a "personal" view, as the Chinese government now has claimed. Rather, if we reference the item blogged in refWrite just yesterday (thanks again to Gary Reid of Canada Free Press, we should note that Communist China is busy controlling the expression of personal views en masse but especially the personal views of high members of the Party and the Military. It's best to consider the General as expressing precisely what the central leadership of the Party meant to go out across the world, and particularly to the USA and Canada. That brings us to Hu Jintao, the no-democracy imperial autocrat of Communist China, successor of Mao.

At the moment, two fronts have developed in both our countries. One is the heavy investment by the Chinese Communist government's business interests in key USA and Canadian corporations, especially in the extractive industires, where now it has broached yet another idea - importing thousands of Chinese workers to conduct the operations of its newly-bawt industrial undertakings. And, two, the planned killing off of domestic industries in North America like those of textile industry and its already low-waged garment workers, along with the same in South Asian countries that could compete with China and our workers, were not the Communists artificially holding their currency exchange below market value in order to undersell all, and cripple all others in the industry. But the completion of two is this: China still uses slave labour and prohibits the organization of free trade unions, just as it prohibits the open oranization and functioning of free churches.

We should ponder the significance of something far beyond a 'personal' view in General Zhu Chenghu's remarks.

Hu Jintoa backgrounders in regard to the policy of Attack Taiwan Note: The foregoing item from Epoch Times was picked up by Discarded Lies which on the same page includes another pertinent document from Strategypage.com. The latter, unfortunately is fee-based; so instead, you may scroll down to the bottom of the Discarded Lies page, or read it here below:

March 31, 2005: China is apparently planning an “out-of-the-blue” (OOTB) attack on Taiwan, that will initially consist mainly of missiles, warplanes, paratroopers and troops out on "training exercises". What this means is that, during what appears to be peacetime maneuvers, the troops involved will suddenly move against a nearby nation and invade. This tactic was developed by Russia during the Cold War, but never used. They prepared for it by holding large scale training exercises twice a year, near the border with West Germany. The Russian troops were all ready to practice, or go to war. An OOTB attack could be ordered by having the troops to cross the border and attack NATO forces, who would have insufficient warning to deal with the sudden offensive. NATO finally caught on to this plan, and put the troops on alert during the Russian field exercises. The OOTB was most noticeably used, and successfully at that, when the Russian trained Egyptian army surprised the Israelis and recaptured the Suez canal in 1973.

If everyone is on to OOTB attacks, how does China expect to get away with it? Especially when it would involve an amphibious operation involving at least ten hours time at sea for the ships of the amphibious force. The exact details are kept secret, but the plan involves using over 600 ballistic missiles, and several hundred warplanes, which China has stationed within range of Taiwan. Within an hour, the missiles could hit Taiwanese anti-aircraft missile launchers, radars, airbases, ships in harbor and army barracks and combat vehicles. Launch the attack in the pre-dawn hours, and you catch most of the troops in their barracks, and the ships, warplanes and tanks lined up and vulnerable. Amphibious troops would already be on their ships, for an amphibious exercises, escorted by numerous warships. As the amphibious fleet headed for Taiwan, hundreds of Chinese warplanes would return to hit whatever targets had been missed.

Taiwanese commanders have responded with plans to keep warships at sea and some aircraft in the air at all times during Chinese exercises. Even 900 ballistic missiles, which the Chinese will have in place during the next few years, would not be sufficient to shut down the Taiwanese armed forces. But if the missiles, and air strikes soon thereafter, could do enough damage to prevent the first wave of amphibious ships from getting hit bad, Taiwan would be in big trouble. In fact, if the Chinese could get control of the air over Taiwan for a day or so, three Chinese airborne divisions could be dropped on Taiwan as well.

Taiwan has always expected assistance from the U.S. Navy and Air Force. But without advance warning to get a carrier or two into the area, and a few hundred U.S. Air Force planes alerted for movement to Taiwan, Japan and Guam, the American assistance would be too late. Thus, for Taiwan, an OOTB attack, which the Chinese appear to be preparing to carry out, is something to worry about.


It's time the press in the USA and Canada clearly bring out what's going on in the mind of the Communist Chinese distatorship, whether its special form of capitalism can spinoff some gains for some of our morally decrepit corporations or not. - Owlb

UPDATE July 19: "China Wants War" Charles R. Smith on the Communist Chinese General's threat to use nukes to take-over Taiwan in the case of a US defense of the island

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