Friday, February 09, 2007

Politics: Canada: Conserv ads drive Lib support to NDP and Greens

Nik Nanos, a premier independent pollster and opinion analyst in Canada, has new survey results on his most recent poll of voter opinion on Federal Canadian concerns regarding the environment and past Lib leadership failures in that regard. As it turns out, the heavy-duty ad-campaign of the Federal Conservatives is driving voters from the Libs to the semi-socialist NDP and the anti-war-more-than-thou Greens. Nik gives the gist from his latest poll in the quote below, but do click the refWrite headline above, to go directly to Nik's webpage with the summary and then take a look at the comments. Nik has structured his comment process in a way I've never seen before, and I find it most intersting. It moves from the usual egalitarian-ideology of most webtalk to establish "opinion leaders." Thus, an internal democratic moment in poll-commenting that is structured to produce an elite, poll by poll. You may want to comment yourself. You may want to vote for the best comment. You may or may not. You decide, ahem.

According to the latest SES Research poll completed last evening we are looking at a dead heat between the Conservatives and the Liberals nationally.

Some regional shifts have occurred in the past 90 days.

The BQ is down 11 points in Quebec (Tories up 8 points). In Ontario the Liberals are down six points (NDP up 3, Green up 3). The Ontario numbers indicate that the Conservative ads are potentially driving voters from the Liberals to the NDP and Greens. Federal Conservative support in Ontario is unchanged in the past 90 days (36%).

Tell me what you think.

Cheers, NJN

Remember to rate the views of others - to allow us to recognize the opinion leaders in our national conversation.

Individuals with the top ratings make it to Nik’s Leaderboard.
The main page of the SES Research site will take you to other Nik Nanos pages; SES holds the copyr+t on material quoted from the SES news release, of course.

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