Showing posts with label LaytonJack. Show all posts
Showing posts with label LaytonJack. Show all posts

Monday, September 05, 2011

PoliticsCanada: New Democratic Party: Split regarding unions role in party

Globe and Mail, Toronto (Sept4,2k11)


NDP solidarity cracks over 
role of unions in picking leader

The first clean split among federal New Democrats since Jack Layton passed away last month rests on an issue that strikes at the historical heart of the party: the role of union members in choosing the next leader.
The matter is the first in what promises to be a number of sharp policy debates among the various candidates and factions that Mr. Layton managed to hold together during his time as NDP leader.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/video/video-how-will-the-ndp-cope-with-losing-jack-layton/article2142162/

The article is by 
DANIEL LEBLANC
Ottawa— From Monday's Globe and Mail
Without any fanfare, Canada has grown up.  The stimulating piece is by John Ibbitson, G&M's Ottawa correspondent.


Leader of the itsy-bitsy teenie weenie Greenie Party complains about the present Conservative-majority govt under Stephen Harper which the article renders more understandable, comprehensible. 
“We have never had a prime minister who was less interested in a national vision, and in particular in a strong, shared national-provincial vision,” laments Elizabeth May, leader of the Green Party.
One day, a political party may come to power in Ottawa that once again seeks to impose pan-national programs in the interest of a Greater Canada.
But if the country has grown up, then parties of the left as well as the right may prefer co-operation to confrontation, accommodation to imposition. After all, one thing grown-ups learn is to give each other space.






Monday, May 02, 2011

PoliticsCanada: Election: Forecast, while we await today's election results

------------------------

Pie-graph (below) by Autostraddle (May2,2k11), a Lesbian cultural blog furiously declaring that haters/critiquers of Prime Minister Stephen Harper include "all Canadian women."  Hopefully the remark is only tongue-in-cheek, as the "Girls-on-Girls" faction (as they characterize themselves) is at least astute enuff to show how Globe & Mail has endorsed Mr Harper for a third term (along with National Post, and UK's Economist); while Toronto Star has shifted from the Liberals to the most-socialist party, Jack Layton's New Democrats, skipping over the most-enviro radical party, Greens.

The Bloc Quebecois have been endorsed by Le Devoir. They currently have 5.8% support, which is down from 10.1% at the beginning of the campaign period. The Bloc really only happens in Quebec, and with a lot of that support shifting towards the NDP, this drop isn’t really a surprise.
Bloc support is rather exclusively found in Québec, the only province where this Federal separatist party is on the ballot.  The quoted "10.1%" nationally translates into 38.1% of the vote in Québec.  "...[V]oters have flocked to the NDP, principally at the cost of the Liberals and Bloc Québécois," says G&M:

“The separatist BQ on Monday will be dealt a resounding rebuke from Quebeckers registering their worst showing in BQ history,” pollster Nik Nanos predicted.




The precedent of 2008 suggests that, while Mr. Harper will win a strong minority government, he will not obtain the majority of seats without which, he has repeatedly warned, his government will be unseated by the other parties in a matter of weeks.
But Mr. Nanos observed that in 1997, “with similar results, Jean Chrétien [a previous          Liberal Prime Minister of Canada] did manage to form a majority government.”

He did it by sweeping ridings across Ontario thanks to a divide on the right between the Reform and Progressive Conservative parties.
Whether the NDP surge in this election splits the votes on the left, allowing the Conservatives to capture a clutch of ridings in Ontario and win their majority, is unknowable.
“It all boils down to the distribution of support,” Mr. Nanos observed. 
I'll be up late, I guess, watching these fascinating results of an election campaign that started slow and gathered steam as the NDP sucked up Green, Bloc, and Liberal votes (other Lib votes have drained off to the Conservs).  Meantime, the Conservatives have been moving from a minority-only govt to an increased number of parliamentary seats (still however in a minority status) with Harper begging voters for a majority .... and he just may get it in today's vote.  


Nevertheless, there remains the possiblity that, tho coming in only 2nd and 3rd, the socialists and Liberal rump will nevertheless unite to bring down Harper's third-term winners (short of a majority), by means of another no-confidence vote "in a matter of weeks." The two parties, once vying for second place, had promised each other they woud never form a coalition to govern Canada together.  But they had already formed a negative coalition, along with the Bloc, to bring down the Harper Conservative govt, necessitating the present election before completion of a full-term.  


Again, the Bloc's role is ironic in that now they are again playing the language card with considerable vehemence:

“We will fight right to the last minute to get out the vote,” Mr. Duceppe said in a speech that branded the New Democrats as contemptuous of Quebec. He dwelled on the fact that some NDP candidates in Quebec struggle in French and have barely set foot in the ridings where they are running. “This nation [Québec] has a language, the language is French, and we are proud of it,” he said. “How can we accept that people who don’t even speak our language are asking for our confidence?  It is contempt.” (National Post)
And it is a humiliation to Duceppe and the separatist Bloc in the Federal Parliament, because so many francophones have shifted away from the BQ to the English-language based NDP.


-- Politicarp


Seat projections made on April 30 as published in Globe & Mail, Toronto, on May 1:

Wednesday, April 13, 2011

PoliticsCanada: CandidatesDebate: Telecast spotlites PM Harper, NDP, Liberal, Bloc Quebecois leaders

Last nite I viewed the first debate (tomorrow will see another debate, in French, on a public-service TV channel with English voice-over translation),  wherein four of five parties pitting their leaders against one another, but principally against the most-represented party in Parliament's House of Commons.  The governing party was represented by Stephen Harper, Canada's present Prime Minister.  He has led the Conservative Party's rule over the Canadian federal government.  Arrayed against him were the other three parties represented in the Commons -- Michael Ignatieff who tries to elevate everything to the status of an article of faith in democracy for the Liberals; Gilles Duceppe who turns everything into a lobby-effort for a separate country, making the province of Quebec an independent sovereign state all by itself, all by itself; and last and least, Jack Layton the Yuppie socialist who wants to slay both the PM's Conservatives and also the likeliest amoung his woud-be replacements, Mr Ignatieff, formerly a popular professor of the philosophy of democracy at Harvard University.

In the formal debate process, Stephen Harper succeeded in presenting himself as the voice of reason and clarity, having to fend off personally venomous ad hominems and constant accusatiions of "lies, lies" directed at him by Dr Venom himself, Mr Ignatieff.  To me, Ignatieff seemed to want to blow himself up his word-bombs every time he recited this litany.  He seemed to me also desperate every time he iterated his blind-man's-bluff, running about in a Pin-the-Tail-on-the-Donkey routine, blindfolded but with a silver stake in his wild gestures of overkill:  "contempt of Parliament." Quite apparently, he loved to sneer self-r+teously at the Prime Minister.  This is how the three out-parties ganged up to finally destroy the government and require that Mr Harper call a new election -- something which the Canadian public, all said and done, does not seem to want.  The gang of three voted against the Harper Budget, Spring 2011.  They axed a whole string of fiscal proposals by the Conservs, that woud carry plans forward regarding taxes and mostly expenditure programs regarding which the other party leaders accused Harper of "doing nothing" -- then denying him continuity of plan to do exactly what the Conservs required this budgetary round, in order to move the economic recovery forward.

The three opposition parties, which spent much time bickering among one another, otherwise had their heads buried resolutely in the sand with their mouth portruding and yapping on and on, following Obama's playbook in the USA, accusing Harper of following the Republican playbook.  Harper emerged the only true statesman among them.  He wants his Conservatives to be returned to power this time with a majority.  Duceppe wanted to do him even more damage by electing more than 50 members of the Bloc Quebecois; Layton wanted to raise his total of seats in the House of Commons at the expense of Ignatief; and Iggy almost frothingly wanted his Lberals to obtain a majority again, dumping the Conservs from power and acquiring it for himself.  Layton wanted Proportional Representation becawz the Green Party gathered over 9000,000 votes across the continent and got now seats, while the Bloc with a paltry figure got some 50 seats.

Of course, the Bloc votes are delivered in thoroly more density from the single province of Quebec; the Green vote is spread thinly across the whole continent above the  border.  Layton woud like a fifth federal party in the Commons, sharing many positions with the Greens. Ignatieff has also played that card in the past; whereas in this round, he seeks to shore up the Quebec federalists against the Bloc and fiting furiously against whatever gains the Conservs, NDP or Greens may hope to make there.  Iggy woud be content with only four parties in the Commons, as now.  At the same time, Ignatieff hopes the Greens siphon votes from the NDP in Quebec, so that neither party gets a seat there.  If Mr Ignatieff can hold of the Greens, prevent NDP from getting traction in Quebec and elsewhere, converting as many Greens and NDPers to the federal Liberals, he hope to prevent Harper from winning his majority.  But he'd most want to cut the Conservs down to a second-place minority, so that they lose the power to govern, and his Liberals get that power.  Then he'd work with any and all the parties on specific issues, and presumably the budget too; only he woud not enter into a coalition.

I do not endorse candidates in the Canadian elections, and do not vote in them.  But I do think the present Prime Minister won this 4-party debate.  I agree with Mr Layton that my adopted country needs Proportional Representation to generate a more fair democracy.

-- Politicarp